SDT Research==> Optimal Reward/Risk Stock Trades
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Original: 7/19/2006 12:19 PM
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btan98


Wednesday, July 19, 2006

@@@@ WEDN @@@@

 (I) Mkt
* Bottomed and Trend changing?  likely
* Dow+200 --> suggests mkt is fragile and can do volatile swing up / down

(II) GOOG
* GOOG is definitely a better bet to play YHOO earnings --> YHOO -7 (20%) and GOOG -4 (1%), what a difference !!
- YHOO down on guidance, but GOOG has no guidance, what will happen after GOOG earnings?
* TA of GOOG not working out as planned --> now closer to bottom of symetrically triangle (vs at upper range near $425)
* Conclusion: Since uncertain in a decent mkt (even IBM can go up) --> will hold on to my last portion of GOOG

(III) Earnings Risk / Reward
* stocks are punished hard (YHOO, BOBJ); and reward handsomely??   (IBM is so-so) --> Rish is High, Reward is so-so
 Posted 7/19/2006 12:19 PM - 53 Views - 2 eProps - 4 comments

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Visit btan98's Xanga Site!

the stocks behavior and the options trades definitely doesnt look good for the long side

take care

bernard

Posted 7/20/2006 9:19 AM by btan98 - reply

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the 200 point jump in the dow  is a shortsqueeze as i had said that i could see them squeezing the shorts bec. it is option expirations

but as any these things will fade bec . it is just a squeeze ie end of month rally ( when Bernanke spoke)

Posted 7/20/2006 9:32 AM by btan98 - reply

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the way it trades it just tries to kiss the broken trend line and adios it moves south again

this market is brutal , dont let your good hard earned dollars be taken away

Posted 7/20/2006 10:00 AM by btan98 - reply

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i have a target of 385 -375
Posted 7/20/2006 11:06 AM by btan98 - reply


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